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Canadian REIT Valuations 5/16/25
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Canadian REIT Valuations 5/16/25

Tariffs, Hudson's Bay, Immigration, Valuation Tables, 1Q25 Results and Commentary

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Koneko Research
May 23, 2025
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Canadian REIT Valuations 5/16/25
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Investment Advice from Kensington Market

Uncertainty its high, but investors are overlooking potentially better than expected outcomes. Key updates:

  • Immigration: REIT managements are hopeful for easing of restrictions

  • Tariffs: REIT managements have seen very limited impact so far, but uncertainty may have delayed tenant decisions, especially for Industrial property

  • Hudson’s Bay: REITs have very limited exposure and will benefit from releasing of vacant spaces at higher rates.

Key ideas:

  • H&R offers the best balance of potential return vs risk. A segregation of Core vs Transition assets shows how much progress has been achieved in the Repositioning plan and provides a framework for reviewing what remains to be done.

  • Retail properties have the best fundamental strength

  • Dream Industrial has multiple initiatives to build value over the next year and the unit price has been temporarily depressed by sale of a block by Dream Office

  • Dream Office has delivered two of the catalysts I expected in 1H25 (asset sale and leasing), but Artis may have stepped back from unit purchases or initiatives to force value realization.

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